Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Matchup

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The Cincinnati Reds are set to host their division rival Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. The action will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+110) is stepping into this one as an underdog against Chicago (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +125 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -145 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are 25-16 against the spread (ATS), but only 18-23 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.1 units ATS. The Cubs have gone 24-14 SU this year and are 19-19 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the year and 0.8 units ATS.

Reds games have a 14-26-1 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Cubs have an over/under record of 20-17-1.

Kyle Hendricks is getting the start for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Hendricks (2-4, 3.19 ERA) has racked up 34 strikeouts in 42.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Cincinnati this year, but he did make three starts against the Reds in 2018, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 3.57 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Tanner Roark (3-1, 3.27 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 19 walks this season as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Roark only made one start against the Cubs in 2018 (1-0, 2.35 ERA and seven strikeouts across 7.2 innings).

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 3.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 14 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.56.

Cincinnati’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .245/.314/.388 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ batters have been led by Eugenio Suarez, who is hitting .259/.341/.565 with 12 home runs, 26 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.21 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.80, along with a K/9 of 9.84.

The Cubs offense has slashed .254/.352/.450 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Javier Baez has led Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .323/.360/.627 with 11 home runs, 29 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

The Reds are coming off of a 6-5 loss against the Giants, while the Cubs just got a 4-1 victory over the Brewers.

Cubs at Reds MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Cubs have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 20 over their last 10.
  • The Cubs have a team OPS of .802 this season and an OPS of .816 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .686 overall and .660 against righties.
  • Cincinnati has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.
  • The Cubs have won five of their last six games SU.