Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies will head east to play the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. This interleague matchup starts at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either ATRM or NESN.

Colorado Rockies at Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (-225) is the huge favorite against Colorado (+205) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Rockies +1.5 runs (-105) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-115).

The Rockies have gone 19-21 SU this year and are 19-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 2.9 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 22-19 SU and 18-23 ATS. They’ve lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS.

Boston games have an over/under record of 24-16-1 thus far in 2019. Colorado has an over/under record of 21-17-2.

Kyle Freeland is getting the start for the visiting Rockies. The left-handed Freeland is 2-5 with a 5.84 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox will put the ball in the left hand of Chris Sale (1-5, 4.50 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Sale did not register a start against the Rockies in 2018.

As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.73, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

Boston’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 7.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .287/.406/.530 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Rafael Devers and left fielder J.D. Martinez have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Devers is hitting .336/.408/.456 with 50 hits, 21 RBIs, 27 runs and five steals, and Martinez’s line is .313/.393/.507 with seven homers, 24 RBIs and 25 runs.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.55 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.41.

The Rockies offense has slashed .251/.316/.443 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 8.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .319/.364/.594 with 10 home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Blackmon is slashing .305/.368/.573 with eight homers, 25 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Rockies have lost 1.5 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 6.2 units and are 3-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Rockies at Red Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in just one of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Rockies have a team OPS of .759 this season and an OPS of .754 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .767 overall and .742 against southpaws.
  • The Rockies have won three of their last four games SU while the Red Sox have taken eight of their last nine.
  • Boston has posted 28.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.6 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.