The Pittsburgh Pirates will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a Tuesday showdown. This NL matchup begins at 9:40 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either ATPT or FSAZ.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (receiving -135 odds) is favored over Pittsburgh and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Pirates have gone 20-18 SU this year and are 21-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.6 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 23-19 SU and 26-15 ATS. The team has gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have a 21-18-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Pirates have an over/under record of 18-18-1.
Joe Musgrove is getting the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Musgrove is 1-4 with a 4.20 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Luke Weaver (3-1, 2.98 ERA), who’s got 50 strikeouts and 10 walks, along with a 1.06 WHIP. Weaver is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Arizona hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .281/.350/.478 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar have led the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Peralta is slashing .326/.368/.547 with six home runs, 28 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .288/.362/.532 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.56, along with a K/9 of 10.45.
The Pirates offense has slashed .240/.304/.376 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Melky Cabrera have led Pittsburgh’s offense. Bell is slashing .324/.395/.655 with 10 home runs, 35 RBIs and 25 runs scored. Cabrera (.327/.367/.469) has produced three homers, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Pirates have gained 6.7 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.9 units and are 17-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.
Pirates at Diamondbacks MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 20 XBH over its last five.
- The Pirates have a total OPS of .681 this season and an OPS of .707 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .788 overall and .749 against righties.
- Pittsburgh has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
- The Pirates have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.
