In the 0 game of a doubleheader, the Milwaukee Brewers are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be airing this NL showdown.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Brewers are 24-18 SU and are 21-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 0.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 23-16 SU and 20-18 ATS. They’ve gained 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 17-21 thus far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 16-24-1.
Freddy Peralta will get the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Peralta is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Phillies are countering with Aaron Nola (3-0, 4.57 ERA). Nola has 45 strikeouts and 17 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.48. Nola only made one start against the Brewers in 2018 (0-0, 8.31 ERA and four strikeouts across 4.1 innings).
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .233/.333/.355 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .298/.365/.440 with three home runs, 15 RBIs and 19 runs scored, and Hoskins is hitting .286 with 11 homers, 35 RBIs and 26 runs.
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a K-per-9 of 9.71.
The Brewers offense has slashed .242/.325/.427 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .338/.449/.746 with 16 home runs, 37 RBIs, 33 runs and seven stolen bases, while Cain (.246/.304/.377) is up to four homers, 17 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 3.1 units and are 12-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.8 units and are 17-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under.
Brewers at Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
- The Brewers have a total OPS of .752 this season and an OPS of .728 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .749 overall and .749 against righties.
- Philadelphia has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Phillies have won four of their last five games SU.
