Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Houston Astros are set to face off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park in Game 0 of a doubleheader. ATTSN Southwest will televise this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Houston (-135) as the favorite over Detroit (+125). If you think this game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -120 odds. Taking the over will give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Astros -1.5 runs (+110) and Tigers +1.5 runs (-130).

The Astros have gone 26-15 SU this year and are 20-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having lost 1.2 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 18-20 SU and 18-19 ATS. The team’s gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.1 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 16-21 so far in 2019. Astros games have gone under 21 times, gone over 18 times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Brad Peacock is the probable starter for the visiting Stros. Peacock is 3-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Tigers are turning to lefty Matthew Boyd (4-2, 2.86 ERA), who’s got 63 strikeouts and 11 walks, in addition to a WHIP of 0.93. Boyd did not re a start against the Astros in 2018.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.37 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Detroit’s offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .199/.236/.392 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .294/.358/.357 with 42 hits, 15 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Castellanos is hitting .278 with three homers, 12 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.93 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 10.06 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.05, along with a WHIP of 1.03 and a K-per-9 of 9.45.

The Astros offense has slashed .281/.356/.503 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 7.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 8.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Outfielders George Springer and Michael Brantley have led Houston’s offense. Springer is slashing .321/.400/.660 with 15 home runs, 37 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Brantley (.331/.377/.591) has produced 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 1.1 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 2.1 units and are 15-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve cashed the under.

Astros at Tigers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have hit 27 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.
  • The Astros have a team OPS of .860 this season, including an OPS of .879 against left-handed pitchers. The Tigers’ OPS stands at .676 overall and .748 against southpaws.
  • Detroit has recorded 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.8 over its last five.
  • The Astros have won eight of their last nine games SU.