In Game 0 of a NL East doubleheader, the Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast the action. The game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Sportsbooks have New York (-155) as the favorite over Miami (+145). The total currently stands at 7 runs and bettors can play the over for +105 and the under for -125. This game currently has a runline of Marlins +1.5 (-150) and Mets -1.5 (+130).
The Mets are 19-20 straight up (SU) and 20-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Marlins are 10-29 SU and have gone 14-24 ATS. In total, the club has lost 11.7 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 16.1 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 21-15-2 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 17-20-1.
Caleb Smith will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The left-handed Smith is 3-0 with a 2.11 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets will turn to righty Noah Syndergaard (2-3, 5.14 ERA), who has 54 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Syndergaard hasn’t faced the Marlins yet this year, but he made three starts against them in 2018, putting together a spotless 3-0 record with a 1.64 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.47, along with a K/9 of 9.97.
The Marlins offense has slashed .219/.284/.310 on its way to 2.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .232/.282/.298 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Anderson (.229/.313/.306) is up to two homers, 10 RBIs and five runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 21 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.14.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.366/.452 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is hitting .360/.440/.496 with 50 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .278/.316/.424 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 8.1 units and are 10-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.8 units and are 6-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under.
Marlins at Mets Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Miami has logged seven extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
- Miami fielders have zero errors over the last five outin, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit one home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have a team OPS of .594 this season and an OPS of .587 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .733 overall and .724 against righties.
