The Miami Marlins are set to take the field against the New York Mets at Citi Field in Game 0 of their divisional doubleheader. Pix11 will be showing the matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
Miami (+240) is the underdog to New York (-275) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 6.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +110 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and -130 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Mets are 18-20 straight up (SU) and 19-18 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, have gone 10-28 SU this year and are 14-23 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 14.8 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 20-15-2 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 16-20-1.
The right-handed Sandy Alcantara is the projected starter for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara (1-3, 4.93 ERA) has racked up 27 strikeouts in 38.1 innings so far. This is his first outing against New York this year. He did make three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.89 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Jacob deGrom (2-4, 3.60 ERA), who has 56 strikeouts and 13 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. deGrom is 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.47, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.85 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 20 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.340/.423 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense so far. McNeil is slashing .363/.445/.504 with 49 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .279/.318/.429 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.44 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.57, along with a K-per-9 of 10.01.
Marlins hitters have slashed .220/.286/.311 on their way to 2.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .231/.283/.299 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored. Anderson is hitting .236/.321/.314 with two homers, 10 RBIs and five runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 7.0 units and are 10-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.3 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve cashed the under.
Marlins at Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Miami has logged six extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .596 this season and an OPS of .590 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .729 overall and .717 against righties.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
- New York has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.
