The Minnesota Twins will welcome the Detroit Tigers to Target Field in the 1 game of a divisional doubleheader. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast the matchup.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Las Vegas has Minnesota (-155) as the favorite over Detroit (+145). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 9 runs scored, then Vegas is currently offering -115 odds. Taking the over can return -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-150) and Twins -1.5 (+130).
The Tigers are 16-19 SU and are 17-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 1.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 24-12 SU and 20-15 ATS. They’ve gained 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 19-16 so far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 19 times, gone over 15 times and pushed on zero occasions.
Right-hander Spencer Turnbull will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Turnbull (2-2, 2.31 ERA) has recorded 38 strikeouts in 39 innings so far. This is his first outing against Minnesota this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record with a 6.30 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Michael Pineda (2-3, 6.09 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), who has 30 strikeouts and nine walks. Pineda is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.59, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
The Tigers offense has slashed .227/.299/.366 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .296/.360/.363 with 40 hits, 14 RBIs and 11 runs scored. Castellanos (.260/.319/.412) is up to 34 hits, 10 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.38, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In eight games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 2.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.63.
Minnesota’s hitters have produced 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .285/.369/.506 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Twins’ batters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and second baseman Jonathan Schoop. Polanco is hitting .341/.412/.644 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Schoop’s line is .283/.328/.517 with six homers, 17 RBIs and 20 runs.
The Tigers have gained 2.6 units and are 14-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 13.5 units and are 19-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Tigers vs. Twins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
- The Tigers have dropped three of their last four games SU.
- Detroit has posted 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.
- The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Tigers have an OPS of .665 this season and an OPS of .650 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .826 overall and .838 versus righties.
