Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals Free Pick

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In the 0 game of a doubleheader, the Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to televise this interleague matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Vegas has listed Kansas City (+130) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-140). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +105 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -125 for the Royals +1.5.

The Phillies have gone 21-15 SU this year and are 19-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 0.9 units ATS. The Royals, on the other hand, are 13-25 SU and 19-19 ATS. The team’s lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS.

Kansas City games have a 22-14-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 17-19.

Jake Arrieta is getting the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta is 4-2 with a 3.40 ERA and 37 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Royals are countering with Homer Bailey (3-3, 5.25 ERA). Bailey has 34 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a 1.31 WHIP. Bailey only made one start against the Phillies in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.13 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.03 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Kansas City offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .273/.349/.492 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Royals’ batters have been led by Whit Merrifield, who is slashing .295/.355/.538 with six home runs, 19 RBIs, 30 runs and seven stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.04, along with a K/9 of 9.31.

The Phillies offense has slashed .249/.336/.424 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Philadelphia’s offense has been spearheaded by Cesar Hernandez. Hernandez is slashing .305/.363/.458 with three home runs, 14 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

The Phillies just got a 5-0 victory over the Cardinals, while the Royals are coming off of a 9-0 loss against the Astros.

Phillies at Royals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.
  • The Phillies have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 12 over their last 10.
  • The Phillies have a team OPS of .760 this season and an OPS of .759 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .751 overall and .777 against righties.
  • Philadelphia has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.