The struggling Toronto Blue Jays will look to stave off their fifth consecutive loss as they play host to the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre. Fox Sports North will televise this AL showdown. The game is slated to get going at 7:07 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Minnesota (-115) is entering this game as the favorite against Toronto (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Twins -1.5 runs and -150 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.
The Twins have gone 22-12 SU this year and are 18-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 1.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 15-21 SU and 19-16 ATS. They’ve lost 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.1 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 14-20-1 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 18-15.
The right-handed Kyle Gibson will get the nod for the visiting Twins. Gibson (2-1, 4.68 ERA) has racked up 29 punchouts in 32.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are turning to Trent Thornton (0-3, 4.08 ERA). Thornton has 38 punchouts and 14 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Thornton is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.07, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Toronto offense has produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 1.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .210/.271/.269 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis have led the Blue Jays’ hitters so far. Grichuk is hitting .255/.311/.431 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored, and Galvis is hitting .270 with five homers, 13 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a K/9 of 9.49.
The Twins offense has slashed .255/.325/.487 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Jorge Polanco and Nelson Cruz have led Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is hitting .317/.392/.603 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cruz (.292/.380/.566) is up to seven homers, 21 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 11.5 units and are 17-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 7.3 units and are 12-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 11 which went under the total.
Twins vs. Blue Jays MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
- The Twins have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- The Twins have a total OPS of .812 this season and an OPS of .806 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS sits at .653 overall and .656 against righties.
- Toronto has posted 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.6 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
