Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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The Washington Nationals will take the field against the Milwaukee Brewers in a Tuesday showdown. This NL matchup will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (receiving -110 odds) is hosting this one as the favorite over Washington and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Runline odds sit at -210 for taking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Brewers are 21-16 straight up (SU) and 16-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Nationals have gone 14-20 SU this year and are 13-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.2 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 9.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Milwaukee games have a 14-21-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 18-14-1.

The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is getting the nod for Washington. Strasburg is 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and seven strikeouts across six innings).

The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Adrian Houser (0-1, 8.44 ERA), who has three strikeouts and two walks as well as a 2.06 WHIP. Houser did not re a start against the Nationals in 2018.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 5.09 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .241/.302/.369 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters so far. Yelich is hitting .342/.448/.784 with 15 home runs, 36 RBIs, 28 runs and six stolen bases, and Cain’s line sits at .259/.316/.406 with four homers, 14 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.48, along with a K-per-9 of 9.54.

Nationals hitters have slashed .246/.323/.423 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Washington’s offensive production has been powered by outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles. Eaton is hitting .297/.355/.420 with three home runs, 11 RBIs and 21 runs scored. Robles (.262/.306/.476) has produced six homers, 13 RBIs, 23 runs and eight stolen bases.

The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 11-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 0.1 units and are 9-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under.

Nationals at Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in five of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have an OPS of .746 this season and an OPS of .707 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .739 versus righties.
  • The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Milwaukee has posted 22 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 11 over their last 10.