The Chicago Cubs are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on either NSC+ or FSFL.
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Marlins are 10-24 SU and have gone 12-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.9 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 14.1 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 19-13 SU and 16-15 ATS. The team’s gained 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Cubs games have an over/under record of 18-12-1 so far in 2019. The Marlins have an over/under record of 14-18-1.
Caleb Smith is getting the start for Miami. The southpaw Smith is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.69 ERA and eight strikeouts across five and one-third innings).
The Cubs are sending lefty Jon Lester (2-1, 1.73 ERA) to the mound. Lester has 27 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 0.96. Lester only made one start against the Marlins in 2018 (0-0, 8.10 ERA and two strikeouts across 3.1 innings).
As a unit, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.65, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
Chicago’s hitters have produced 5.9 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.387/.541 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Shortstop Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Baez is hitting .314/.352/.650 with 11 home runs, 26 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Rizzo is hitting .250 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.14 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.81, along with a K/9 of 10.28.
Marlins hitters have slashed .220/.287/.319 on their way to 2.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offense has been powered by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Anderson is slashing .242/.333/.331 with 30 hits, nine RBIs and five runs scored, while Rojas (.269/.322/.324) has produced 29 hits, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.8 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 0.9 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to two that went under the total.
Marlins at Cubs MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Miami’s last seven contests.
- The Marlins have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 21 over their last 10.
- The Marlins have an OPS of .605 this season, including an OPS of .599 against left-handed pitchers. The Cubs’ OPS stands at .821 overall and .770 against southpaws.
- Chicago has recorded 25 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25 over its last five.
