The Boston Red Sox will be taking on their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles in a Tuesday night game. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds
The Red Sox have gone 17-19 SU this year and are 14-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 8.1 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 13-22 SU and 14-20 ATS. They’ve gained 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.7 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 19-14-1 so far in 2019. Red Sox games have gone over 20 times, gone under 14 times and pushed on one occasion.
Hector Velazquez will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Velazquez (0-2, 3.72 ERA) has recorded 19 strikeouts in 19.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles will turn to righty David Hess (1-4, 5.34 ERA), who’s got 22 strikeouts and nine walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.25. Hess is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.23 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.03 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 19 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.05.
Baltimore’s offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .251/.306/.383 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ batters have been led by right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is hitting .328/.384/.560 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Villar’s line is .273/.327/.434 with four homers, 16 RBIs, 22 runs and seven stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.06 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 10.44.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .248/.334/.407 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Boston’s offense has been fueled by outfielders J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .321/.392/.473 with four home runs, 18 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .288/.389/.492 with six homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Red Sox have lost 6.7 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 2.4 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
Red Sox at Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Boston has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 13 XBH over its last five.
- The Red Sox have a total OPS of .741 this season and an OPS of .745 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .695 overall and .695 against righties.
- Boston has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.8 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
