The Toronto Blue Jays are playing host to the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre. This AL matchup will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (+105) as the underdog to Toronto (-115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-200) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+170).
The Blue Jays are 19-14 against the spread (ATS), but only 15-19 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.9 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, have gone 20-12 SU this year and are 17-14 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 2.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Blue Jays games have a 13-19-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 18-13.
Left-hander Martin Perez is the probable starter for the visiting Twins. Perez (4-0, 3.41 ERA) has recorded 30 strikeouts in 34.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are turning to righty Marcus Stroman (1-4, 2.20 ERA), who’s got 39 strikeouts and 16 walks, in addition to a 1.20 WHIP. Stroman hasn’t faced the Twins yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 2.57 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).
Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Toronto offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.286/.329 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis. Grichuk is slashing .256/.314/.442 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .277 with five homers, 13 RBIs and 14 runs.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.84 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.66, along with a K-per-9 of 9.69.
The Twins offense has slashed .253/.323/.485 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and second baseman Jonathan Schoop. Polanco is hitting .303/.373/.571 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Schoop (.282/.333/.505) has produced five homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Twins have gained 11.5 units and are 16-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.6 units and are 7-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Twins at Blue Jays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven outings.
- The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit eight over their last 10.
- The Twins have an OPS of .808 this season and an OPS of .800 against right-handed pitchers. The Blue Jays’ OPS stands at .670 overall and .670 against righties.
- Toronto has recorded 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.
- The Blue Jays have dropped five of their last six games SU.
