The Washington Nationals will head west to Miller Park to play the Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown and the opening pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas has listed Washington (-110) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+100). If you think this game’s total will go under 8 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -115 odds. Picking the over will return -105 odds. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +135 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -155 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 20-16 straight up (SU) and 16-19 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.8 units ATS. The Nationals are 14-19 SU and have gone 13-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.2 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 7.7 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 14-20-1 so far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 18-13-1.
Max Scherzer will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Scherzer is 1-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (3-3, 5.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP), who’s got 26 punchouts and 18 walks this season. Chacin made two starts against the Nationals in 2018, posting a spotless 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.13, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .229/.308/.365 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ hitters this year. Yelich is slashing .346/.450/.804 with 15 home runs, 36 RBIs, 27 runs and six steals, and Cain’s line is .259/.316/.406 with four homers, 14 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.43, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Nationals hitters have slashed .248/.325/.424 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles. Eaton is slashing .291/.351/.396 with 39 hits, 10 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Robles is hitting .258/.298/.476 with 32 hits, six homers, 13 RBIs, 23 runs and seven stolen bases.
The Nationals have lost 5.5 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 0.1 units and are 9-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 14 that went under.
Nationals at Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have an OPS of .749 this season and an OPS of .713 against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS sits at .761 overall and .743 against righties.
- Washington has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 11 over their last 10.
