The Portland Trail Blazers (2-1) will be 2.5-point favorites at home in game four of the Western Conference Semifinals when they take on the Denver Nuggets (1-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210 points and action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 5, 2019.
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds
In game three, McCollum led the Trail Blazers to a 140-137 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 41 points. The two teams combined to put up 277 points, which was well over the projected point total of 215, and Portland was unable to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. Portland did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (24-28; 85.7 percent). Denver, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.517 vs. 0.468).
Nuggets games tend to finish under the total (55.4 percent). Denver comes into the contest with records of 59-33 straight up (SU) and 47-45 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Denver, games involving the Trail Blazers have gone over the total 52.2 percent of the time. Further, Portland owns records of 59-31 SU and 49-41 ATS.
The Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 27 points,12.2 rebounds,8.0 assists,1.8 steals,1.4 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Enes Kanter has averaged 16 points,8.8 rebounds during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.
Denver figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this contest. The Nuggets rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.6 percent), while Portland ranks 13th in defensive rebounding percentage (77.4 percent).
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.1) while Portland ranks 25th (22.6).
- The Nuggets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (52.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (49.2).
- Denver ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Portland ranks ninth (15.2).
- Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (47.9) while Denver ranks seventh (46.4).
- The Nuggets average 15.5 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (30.0) while the Nuggets rank 10th (31.1).
- Denver ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Portland ranks 17th (14.0).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Portland is 18-2 and Denver is 27-3.
- The Trail Blazers are 56-25 when they score over 100 points, while the Nuggets are 54-23.
- Denver is 19-26 ATS on the road, while Portland is 26-19 ATS at home.
- Of the Nuggets’ 45 road games, they have 25 unders and 20 overs.
- Of the Trail Blazers’ 45 home games, they have 26 overs and 19 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Portland are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Denver has defeated opponents by an average of 3.6 points.
- During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (1.8 above their season average).
