The Miami Marlins are playing host to their NL East foe Atlanta Braves at Marlins Park. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida to catch the game.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+135) is rolling into this matchup as an underdog against Atlanta (-145) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds sit at +100 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 9-23 straight up (SU) and 12-19 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 7.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, have gone 17-16 SU this year and are 14-18 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.4 units ATS.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 13-17-1 so far in 2019. Braves games have gone over 17 times, gone under 13 times and pushed on two occasions.
Right-hander Julio Teheran is getting the start for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made three starts against the Marlins in 2018, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 10.05 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Marlins are turning to righty Pablo Lopez (2-4, 4.78 ERA), who’s got 33 punchouts and eight walks, along with a 1.16 WHIP. Lopez is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.24 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.82 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 10.5 K/9. In 18 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.65.
The Miami hitters have produced 2.8 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .197/.280/.229 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Miguel Rojas has helped lead the Marlins’ offense this season with 28 hits, eight RBIs and nine runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.49 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
The Braves offense has slashed .268/.354/.452 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Ozzie Albies has sparked Atlanta’s hitters thus far and is hitting .291/.342/.511 with seven home runs, 18 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
The Braves just took the previous game in the series by a final score of nine runs to two.
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit five over their last 10.
- The Braves have an OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .779 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .609 overall and .609 against righties.
- Atlanta has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.
- The Marlins have dropped six of their last seven games SU.
