The Los Angeles Angels are set to host their division rival Houston Astros at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey. The matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds
Houston (-185) is favored over Los Angeles (+175) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 10 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -130 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +110 for the Angels +1.5.
The Angels are 15-18 straight up (SU) and 19-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 8.1 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 19-14 SU this year and are 13-19 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 7.4 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 13-18-1 so far in 2019. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 13-19.
Justin Verlander will get the nod for Houston. The right-handed Verlander is 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 53 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Los Angeles this year. He did make six starts against the Angels in 2018, posting a 4-1 record against them with a 1.83 ERA and 55 strikeouts.
The Angels are countering with Matt Harvey (1-2, 6.54 ERA). Harvey has 21 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.39. Harvey did not record a start against the Astros in 2018.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.65 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 18 games against AL West foes, Angels starters have an ERA of 6.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.48.
The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .261/.330/.424 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Angels’ hitters have been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Brian Goodwin. Simmons is slashing .293/.314/.444 with three home runs, 17 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Goodwin is hitting .326 with four homers, 11 RBIs and 21 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 9.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.91, along with a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 9.56.
The Astros offense has slashed .271/.348/.478 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Michael Brantley and George Springer have led Houston’s offense. Brantley is slashing .333/.380/.540 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 18 runs scored. Springer is hitting .276/.365/.567 with 10 homers, 27 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
The Astros have lost 6.0 units and are 9-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 4.2 units and are 14-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve cashed the under.
Astros at Angels Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Houston has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Los Angeles has 14 XBH over its last five.
- The Astros have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
- The Astros have an OPS of .826 this season and an OPS of .807 against right-handed pitchers. The Angels’ OPS sits at .734 overall and .758 versus righties.
- Los Angeles has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.
