The Cincinnati Reds will play host to the San Francisco Giants at Great American Ball Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio.
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-170) is a sizable favorite against San Francisco (+160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Giants +1.5 runs and +115 for the Reds -1.5 runs.
The Giants are 14-19 SU and have gone 13-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 11.9 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 14-19 SU and 19-13 ATS. The team has lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Reds games have an 8-23-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Giants games have gone under 17 times, gone over 13 times and pushed on two instances.
The right-handed Jeff Samardzija is the projected starter for the visiting Giants. Samardzija is 2-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Reds are turning to Luis Castillo (3-1, 1.45 ERA). Castillo has 50 punchouts and 17 walks, along with a 0.99 WHIP. Castillo only made one start against the Giants in 2018 (1-0, 1.35 ERA and nine strikeouts across 6.2 innings).
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 3.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.25, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Cincinnati’s offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .213/.310/.410 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by Jose Iglesias and Jesse Winker. Iglesias is slashing .308/.351/.429 with 28 hits, seven RBIs and 11 runs scored, and Winker is hitting .243 with eight homers, 14 RBIs and 20 runs.
For the visitors, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 8.90.
The Giants offense has slashed .219/.279/.351 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Steven Duggar and Evan Longoria have led San Francisco’s hitters. Duggar is hitting .269/.308/.395 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored. Longoria is hitting .223/.263/.402 with four homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Giants have gained 0.7 units and are 7-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 3.9 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to 18 that went under.
Giants at Reds MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of San Francisco’s last seven outings.
- The Giants have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Giants have a team OPS of .630 this season and an OPS of .638 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS sits at .677 overall and .669 against righties.
- Cincinnati has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.
