The Boston Celtics (1-1) will be 2-point favorites at home in game three of the Eastern Conference Semifinals when they clash against the Milwaukee Bucks (1-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219.5 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, May 3, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics ATS Odds
In game two, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 123-102 win. He notched a double-double with 29 points and 10 rebounds. Milwaukee covered as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined for 225 points, which was over the projected point total of 219. The Bucks’ 22.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Celtics, who had a rate of 14.0.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Bucks games, with 45 overs compared to 43 unders. Milwaukee holds records of 65-23 straight up (SU) and 52-33-3 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Celtics’ 88 games, 48 have finished over the total. Moreover, Boston is 54-34 SU and 43-43-2 ATS.
The Celtics are 11-7 with 10 overs, seven unders and one push in the playoffs, while the Bucks are 3-3 ATS with four unders and two overs
Points could be at a premium in this contest between a pair of the NBA’s top defenses. Boston ranks fifth in defensive efficiency (105.0) and Milwaukee is first (103.0).
Bucks at Celtics Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Celtics rank 23rd in second chance points per game (12.3) while the Bucks rank 27th (11.8).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (52.9) while Boston ranks 26th (44.1).
- The Celtics rank fifth in steals per game (8.4) while the Bucks rank 17th (7.4).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (11.0) while Boston ranks 13th (13.5).
- Boston ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Milwaukee ranks 12th (4.8).
- The Celtics rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.2) while the Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (36.0).
- The Celtics average 25.9 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Bucks rank 18th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Boston ranks fifth (14.9).
- Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (49.9) while Boston ranks 20th (44.8).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Milwaukee is 22-1 and Boston is 20-4.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Bucks are 64-18 and the Celtics are 52-25.
- Boston is 22-21 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 26-15-2 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 25 of the Celtics’ 43 home games, while 22 of the Bucks’ 43 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Milwaukee and Boston are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Bucks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Celtics have 3 unders and 2 overs
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (4.7 below their season average).
- The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.2, down from 4.5 for the season.