Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds will face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field in a Thursday showdown. The game gets underway 12:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Odds
Las Vegas has New York (-165) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+155). You can play matchup’s total with current odds listed at +105 for over 7.5 runs and -125 for under 7.5. There’s a runline of Reds +1.5 (-140) and Mets -1.5 (+120) for this matchup.
The Reds have gone 13-17 SU this year and are 17-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 2.8 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 15-15 SU and 16-13 ATS. They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 2.0 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 19-8-2 so far in 2019. The Reds have been a good under bet with a total record of 7-21-1.
Tyler Mahle is getting the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed Mahle is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Mets are turning to righty Noah Syndergaard (1-3, 6.35 ERA), who’s got 39 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Syndergaard only made one start against the Reds in 2018 (1-0, 5.68 ERA and six strikeouts across six and 1-third innings).
Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.32, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K-per-9 of 9.00.
Reds hitters have slashed .210/.286/.376 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Jose Iglesias and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have led Cincinnati’s offense. Iglesias is slashing .313/.352/.434 with 26 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Suarez has a .221 average with 23 hits, seven homers, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.86, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 5.53 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The New York hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .247/.332/.367 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ offense has been led by outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .365/.450/.500 with 38 hits, 12 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Alonso’s line is .291/.378/.627 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 20 runs.
The Reds have lost 3.1 units and are 13-11 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 3.4 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.
Reds at Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- Cincinnati has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.
- Cincinnati fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for New York over its last 10.
- The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .661 this season and an OPS of .647 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .753 overall and .732 against righties.
