The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park. NBC Sports Philadelphia will broadcast the action and the game gets underway at 6:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-185) is a pretty significant favorite against Miami (+175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-125) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+105).
The Phillies are 14-12 straight up (SU) and 11-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. The Marlins have gone 8-18 SU this year and are 11-14 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year and 6.3 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 13-12 thus far in 2019. Miami has an over/under record of 10-14-1.
Right-hander Trevor Richards will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Richards is 0-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He has yet to face Philadelphia this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-2 record with a 5.51 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Phillies are turning to Jake Arrieta (3-2, 2.65 ERA). Arrieta has 25 strikeouts and 13 walks, along with a 1.15 WHIP. Arrieta is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 19 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.03.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .175/.241/.356 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by Cesar Hernandez, who is hitting .276/.333/.408 with 27 hits, nine RBIs and 12 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.97, along with a K-per-9 of 10.45.
The Marlins offense has slashed .218/.280/.329 on its way to 2.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Starlin Castro has provided a spark to the Miami offense. Castro is slashing .257/.312/.356 with 26 hits, eight RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Phillies are looking for another victory following a 4-0 win in the prior game of this series.
Marlins at Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in only two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- The Marlins have a total OPS of .609 this season and an OPS of .606 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .759 overall and .766 against righties.
- Miami has posted 16.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.
