The New York Mets are squaring off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast this NL showdown.
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-170) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+160). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. Runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +115 for the Mets -1.5.
The Brewers are 13-13 SU and have gone 11-15 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 5.3 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 13-11 SU and 14-10 ATS. The team has gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 16-6-2 so far in 2019. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 10-15-1.
Chase Anderson will get the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Anderson (2-0, 3.00 ERA) has recorded 18 strikeouts in 15 innings so far. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make two starts against the Mets in 2018, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 5.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Mets are countering with Jacob deGrom (2-2, 3.68 ERA). deGrom has 36 punchouts and seven walks, along with a 1.27 WHIP. deGrom did not re a start against the Brewers in 2018.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 5.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.60 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
New York’s offense has produced 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .217/.297/.367 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the way for the Mets’ hitters this year. McNeil is slashing .363/.440/.488 with 29 hits, 11 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Alonso is batting .306 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.84 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 9.26 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.65, along with a K-per-9 of 9.03.
The Brewers offense has slashed .243/.325/.462 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .326/.438/.793 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 23 runs scored. Cain is hitting .263/.333/.414 with three homers, six RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Brewers have lost 2.0 units and are 6-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 0.2 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to six that went under.
Brewers at Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
- The Brewers have hit 24 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
- The Brewers have an OPS of .787 this season and an OPS of .769 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .769 overall and .751 versus righties.
- Milwaukee has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.6 over its last five.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
