Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves are ready to face off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in a Thursday showdown. This NL matchup will get underway at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the action.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Bookmakers have Atlanta (+125) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-135). You can play matchup’s total with current odds posted at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. There’s a runline of Braves +1.5 (-170) and Reds -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.
The Braves are 12-11 SU and have gone 10-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 1.7 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 9-14 SU and 14-8 ATS. The team’s lost 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.3 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have a 5-17 over/under record so far in 2019. Braves games have gone over 12 times, gone under eight times and pushed on two occasions.
Right-hander Julio Teheran is the projected starter for Atlanta. Teheran is 2-2 with a 5.61 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Reds will turn to righty Luis Castillo (2-1, 1.47 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and 14 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.88. Castillo only made one start against the Braves in 2018 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.71 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a WHIP of 1.46.
The Braves offense has slashed .265/.360/.451 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .307/.430/.455 with 27 hits, 13 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Albies has a .276 average with 27 hits, three homers, eight RBIs and 18 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 3.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.30 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.28 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
Cincinnati’s hitters have put up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .205/.286/.349 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and first baseman Joey Votto. Suarez is slashing .227/.341/.480 with 17 hits, five home runs, nine RBIs and eight runs scored, and Votto’s line is .229/.349/.400 with 16 hits, four RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Braves have lost 3.4 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 4.0 units and are 10-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.
Braves at Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
- Atlanta fielders have two errors over the last five outin, compared to six errors for Cincinnati over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
- The Braves have a total OPS of .812 this season and an OPS of .771 against right-handed pitchers. The Reds’ OPS stands at .642 overall and .624 versus righties.
