The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against their NL East rival New York Mets in a Tuesday showdown. SportsNet New York will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
Philadelphia (+115) is the underdog to New York (-125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total now sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Mets are 12-10 straight up (SU) and 12-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies are 12-10 SU and have gone 10-11 ATS. Overall, the club has accumulated 1.1 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, but have lost 0.6 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
New York games have an over/under record of 15-4-2 so far in 2019. The Phillies have an over/under record of 12-9.
The right-handed Zach Eflin is getting the start for Philadelphia. Eflin is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make four starts against the Mets in 2018, posting a 2-1 record against them with a 5.95 ERA and 23 strikeouts.
The Mets are sending righty Zack Wheeler (1-2, 6.35 ERA) to the hill. Wheeler has 22 strikeouts and 14 walks to his credit, along with a 1.54 WHIP. Wheeler is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
New York’s pitchers have yielded 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.42, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 5.49 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 17 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.85 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.26.
New York’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .229/.308/.392 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led the Mets’ batters this year. McNeil is slashing .384/.458/.521 with 28 hits, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Alonso’s line is .325/.419/.725 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.72 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.97, along with a WHIP of 1.46.
The Phillies offense has slashed .252/.346/.432 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Outfielder Bryce Harper and first baseman Rhys Hoskins have led Philadelphia’s offense. Harper is slashing .272/.410/.531 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Hoskins (.272/.398/.543) has produced six homers, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 2.7 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.8 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Phillies at Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven outings.
- The Phillies have a team OPS of .779 this season and an OPS of .772 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .779 overall and .760 versus righties.
- The Phillies have dropped four of their last five games SU.
- Philadelphia has recorded 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21 over its last five.
- Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 outings.
