Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals will be taking the field against their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park in a Sunday day game. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup. The first pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Sportsbooks have Washington (-185) as the favorite over Miami (+175). The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can play the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (-130) and Marlins +1.5 (+110).
The Marlins are just 6-15 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. The Nationals are 9-10 SU and have gone 8-10 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 1.3 units ATS.
Miami games have an over/under record of 9-10-1 so far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 11-7.
Right-hander Stephen Strasburg is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg (1-1, 5.56 ERA) has racked up 28 strikeouts in 22.2 innings so far. This is his first outing against Miami this year. He made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-0 record with a 1.80 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
The Marlins will send righty Trevor Richards (0-2, 3.57 ERA) to the mound. Richards has 21 punchouts and 14 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Richards made three starts against the Nationals in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 3.68 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 7.55, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Nationals hitters have slashed .261/.343/.456 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Anthony Rendon and outfielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .371/.451/.771 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Eaton is hitting .312 with one homers, six RBIs and 13 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.89 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 10.3 K/9. In 11 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.64.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 2.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .215/.289/.294 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas have paced the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is slashing .244/.295/.329 with 20 hits, six RBIs and eight runs scored, while Rojas has put up a line of .321/.381/.429 with 18 hits, six RBIs and seven runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 1.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 3.4 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve cashed the under.
Nationals at Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
- Washington fielders have five errors over the last five contests, compared to two errors for Miami over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.
- The Nationals have a total OPS of .799 this season and an OPS of .777 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .620 overall and .620 versus righties.
