The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the San Diego Padres in a Saturday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Ohio will be televising this NL matchup.
Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+105) is stepping into this matchup as an underdog against Cincinnati (-115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +130 for the Reds -1.5 runs and -150 for the Padres +1.5.
The Reds have gone 7-12 SU this year and are 10-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year, despite having gained 0.9 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 11-10 SU and 9-11 ATS. They’ve gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.0 units ATS.
San Diego games have had an over/under record of 9-10-1 so far in 2019. The Reds have been a decent under bet with a total record of 4-14.
Luis Castillo will get the start for the visiting Reds. The right-handed Castillo (1-1, 1.46 ERA) has recorded 32 strikeouts in 24.2 innings so far. This is his first outing against San Diego this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 5.59 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Padres are turning to Eric Lauer (2-2, 4.91 ERA). Lauer has 18 strikeouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.36. Lauer made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 1-0 record in 2018, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.
The San Diego offense is putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .186/.251/.335 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. and left fielder Wil Myers have led the Padres’ offense this year. Tatis Jr. is hitting .296/.370/.606 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Myers has put up a line of .294/.342/.559 with 20 hits, five homers, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.14 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.36, along with a K/9 of 9.40.
Reds hitters have slashed .192/.257/.371 on their way to 3.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Joey Votto and third baseman Eugenio Suarez have led Cincinnati’s offense. Votto is hitting .227/.311/.409 with 15 hits, four RBIs and nine runs scored, while Suarez is hitting .230/.338/.475 with 14 hits, four homers, eight RBIs and six runs scored.
The Reds have lost 1.0 units and are 1-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in zero of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 2.6 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under.
Reds at Padres Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
- The Reds have a total OPS of .628 this season and an OPS of .717 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .696 overall and .759 against lefties.
- San Diego has posted 16.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 14.2 over its last five.
- The Reds have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.
