The Miami Marlins will play host to the Washington Nationals at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (receiving +200 odds) is the huge home-team underdog against Washington and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -150 for picking the Nationals -1.5 runs and +130 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are just 5-15 straight up (SU) and 7-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals are 9-9 SU and have gone 8-9 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.3 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 9-9-1 so far in 2019. Nationals games have gone over 11 times, gone under six times and pushed on zero instances.
Right-hander Max Scherzer is getting the nod for Washington. Scherzer (1-2, 3.33 ERA) has recorded 35 strikeouts in 27 innings so far. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he did make five starts against the team in 2018, posting a 5-0 record with a 2.38 ERA and 35 strikeouts.
The Marlins are handing the ball to righty Jose Urena (0-3, 6.53 ERA), who’s got 17 strikeouts and five walks, along with a 1.74 WHIP. Urena made three starts against the team in 2018, compiling a spotless 2-0 record in 2018, putting together a spotless 2-0 record with a 2.14 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 10 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.92.
Miami’s offense has produced 2.5 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .168/.242/.220 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas have led the charge for the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is hitting .234/.289/.325 with 18 hits, four RBIs and eight runs scored, and Rojas is batting .302 with 16 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.74 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 7.59, along with a K-per-9 of 9.18.
Nationals hitters have slashed .260/.343/.459 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been fueled by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .377/.450/.783 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Eaton (.315/.390/.397) is up to one homers, six RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 1.3 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 4.5 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to six that went under.
Nationals at Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The under has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
- The Nationals have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit six over their last 10.
- The Nationals have a team OPS of .802 this season and an OPS of .778 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .604 overall and .592 versus righties.
- Washington has recorded 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
