Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

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The Baltimore Orioles will welcome the Minnesota Twins to Camden Yards in Game 2 of their doubleheader. Fox Sports North is in line to televise this AL matchup and the first pitch will be at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+125) is the home-team underdog to Minnesota (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +110 for the Twins -1.5 runs and -130 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Orioles are 8-12 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.0 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, have gone 9-7 SU this year and are 8-8 ATS. In total, the club has gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 0.2 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 13-7 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 9-7.

Martin Perez is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. The left-handed Perez (1-0, 5.02 ERA) has recorded 17 strikeouts in 14.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts over seven innings).

The Orioles are going with righty Alex Cobb (0-0, 3.18 ERA), who’s got four punchouts and one walks to his name, along with a 1.06 WHIP. Cobb only made one start against the Twins in 2018 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 5.34 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.52 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .230/.295/.374 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Mancini is hitting .338/.393/.650 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 19 runs scored, and Villar’s line is .268/.333/.427 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 14 runs.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 9.57.

The Twins offense has slashed .265/.340/.466 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Polanco is slashing .400/.464/.717 with 24 hits, five RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .262/.318/.607 with 16 hits, six homers, 16 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Twins have gained 2.0 units and are 8-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 0.5 units and are 2-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to three that went under.

Twins vs. Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have a total OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .787 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .675 overall and .662 versus righties.
  • Minnesota has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.