Atlanta Braves at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

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Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves will head north to face off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio is in line to televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-140) is the favorite against Atlanta (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Braves +1.5 (-170) and Indians -1.5 (+150).

The Indians are 11-7 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, have gone 9-9 SU this year and are 8-9 ATS. In total, the club has lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year, but have gained 0.0 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 8-10 so far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 8-7-2.

Touki Toussaint will get the start for Atlanta. The right-handed Toussaint is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians are handing the ball to righty Corey Kluber (1-2, 6.16 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.84 WHIP. Kluber did not re a start against the Braves in 2018.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.13, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 9.86.

The Braves offense has slashed .263/.362/.447 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is slashing .324/.446/.500 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Albies is hitting .289 with 22 hits, two homers, three RBIs and 11 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 3.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.68, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 9.2.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .221/.287/.319 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Leonys Martin. Santana is slashing .389/.515/.537 with 21 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Martin’s line is .258/.370/.468 with 16 hits, five RBIs and seven runs.

The Braves have lost 2.1 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 3.0 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Braves at Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • Cleveland has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • The Braves have an OPS of .809 this season and an OPS of .760 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .607 overall and .601 versus righties.