Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

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The Kansas City Royals are heading east to face the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 6:35 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Odds

Kansas City (+180) is entering this one as the underdog against New York (-190) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -125 for taking the Royals +1.5 runs and +105 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Royals have gone just 6-12 SU this year and are 10-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, despite having gained 1.8 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 8-9 SU and 8-8 ATS. They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.2 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 8-8 so far in 2019. The Royals have been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-5-1.

Homer Bailey will get the nod for the visiting Royals. The right-handed Bailey is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Yankees are putting the ball in the right hand of Domingo German (3-0, 1.38 ERA, 0.77 WHIP), who’s got 14 strikeouts and seven walks. German did not register a start against the Royals in 2018.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.43 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.4 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .230/.296/.399 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .351/.406/.439 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Torres has produced a line of .273/.324/.515 with 18 hits, six RBIs and 11 runs.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.74 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.37, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 8.34.

Royals hitters have slashed .241/.322/.420 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and left fielder Alex Gordon have led Kansas City’s hitters. Merrifield is hitting .320/.350/.493 with 24 hits, eight RBIs, 14 runs and five stolen bases, while Gordon (.339/.427/.581) is up to 21 hits, three homers, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 4.8 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 7.8 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in eight of those games, compared to five that went under.

Royals vs. Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Kansas City has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Royals have a total OPS of .742 this season and an OPS of .760 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .798 overall and .829 versus righties.
  • Kansas City has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.
  • The Royals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.