Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will do battle against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in a Wednesday showdown. This AL showdown will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be televising the game.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Bookmakers have Toronto (+135) as the underdog to Minnesota (-145). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish below 9 runs, then Vegas is putting up -125 odds for the under. Picking the over will return +105 odds. There’s a runline of Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) and Twins -1.5 (+140) for this matchup.
The Blue Jays have gone 7-11 SU this year and are 8-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 0.6 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 8-6 SU and 7-6 ATS. They’ve gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Twins games have a 7-6 over/under record so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 6-11.
The right-handed Trent Thornton is getting the nod for Toronto. Thornton is 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins are turning to righty Jake Odorizzi (0-2, 6.35 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Odorizzi did not re a start against the Blue Jays in 2018.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .213/.293/.354 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Toronto’s offensive production has been powered by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .328/.357/.612 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and nine runs scored. Grichuk is hitting .222 with three homers, six RBIs and 13 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .248/.333/.452 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have led the way for the Twins’ offense so far. Polanco is hitting .415/.467/.755 with 22 hits, five RBIs and nine runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .264/.328/.547 with four homers, 14 RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Blue Jays have lost 10.0 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 4.3 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
Blue Jays vs. Twins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in four of Toronto’s last seven contests.
- The Toronto defense has coughed up 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to only six errors for Minnesota over its last 10.
- The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .647 this season and an OPS of .663 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .816 overall and .798 against righties.
