The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Odds
Arizona (receiving +140) is the underdog against Atlanta (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-155) and Braves -1.5 runs (+135).
The Braves are 9-7 straight up (SU) and 8-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.0 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 8-9 SU this year and are 10-6 against the spread. Overall, the team’s lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season, but have gained 3.1 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Braves games have had an over/under record of 7-6-2 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have been a decent over bet with a total record of 10-4-2.
Zack Godley will get the start for Arizona. The right-handed Godley (1-1, 7.41 ERA) has racked up 16 strikeouts in 17 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and seven strikeouts over six innings).
The Braves are handing the ball to righty Kevin Gausman (1-1, 2.84 ERA), who’s got 12 strikeouts and five walks, along with a 0.87 WHIP. Gausman only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2018 (0-1, 7.71 ERA and four strikeouts across four and 2-third innings).
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.20, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 5.43 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Atlanta offense has put up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .288/.383/.535 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Albies is slashing .333/.397/.500 with 22 hits, three RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .333 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and 15 runs.
For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 5.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.04, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.42.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .275/.338/.485 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones have led Arizona’s offense. Peralta is slashing .371/.413/.586 with 26 hits, 10 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .324/.387/.588 with 22 hits, four homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 3.8 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 0.5 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to five that went under.
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in three of Arizona’s last seven contests.
- The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 16 over their last 10.
- The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .824 this season and an OPS of .780 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .843 overall and .800 against righties.
- Arizona has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
