The New York Mets will do battle against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies in a Tuesday night game. The matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the game.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-130) is favored over New York (+120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Mets +1.5 runs (-175) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+155).
The Mets are 10-6 SU and are 9-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 2.1 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 9-6 SU and 7-7 ATS. They’ve gained 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 1.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Phillies games have a 9-5 over/under record so far in 2019. The Mets have been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-3-1.
The left-handed Steven Matz is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Matz (1-0, 1.65 ERA) has recorded 19 strikeouts in 16.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Philadelphia this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record with a 3.71 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The Phillies are turning to righty Nick Pivetta (1-1, 9.45 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and five walks, in addition to a WHIP of 2.17. Pivetta only made one start against the Mets in 2018 (0-1, 14.73 ERA and five strikeouts across three and 2-third innings).
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.08, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.26 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 12 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 5.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.39.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .240/.338/.367 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Odubel Herrera. Segura is hitting .323/.380/.462 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Herrera’s line is .267/.318/.383 with 16 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitching staff allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.97 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 11.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.00, along with a K-per-9 of 10.05.
The Mets offense has slashed .268/.356/.437 on its way to 6.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso have led New York’s offense. McNeil is hitting .404/.475/.519 with 21 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored. Alonso (.339/.418/.763) has produced 20 hits, six homers, 17 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Mets have gained 1.1 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 1.6 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in one of those games, compared to zero that went under the total.
Mets vs. Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in five of New York’s last seven games.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .793 this season and an OPS of .775 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .794 overall and .799 against righties.
- Philadelphia has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.
- The Mets have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.
