Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

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The Toronto Blue Jays will be taking on their division rival Boston Red Sox in a Thursday night game. The action will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Toronto (+165) is the underdog to Boston (-175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Blue Jays have gone 4-8 SU this year and are 5-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 1.3 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS. They’ve lost 11.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 8-3-1 so far in 2019. Blue Jays games have gone under nine times, gone over three times and pushed on zero occasions.

Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 1.64 ERA) will get the ball for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez started 20 games last year while finishing the season 4-6 overall with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. He made four starts against Boston in 2018 and put together a 0-2 record against the Red Sox with a 4.70 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

The BoSox are turning to righty Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 8.10 ERA), who recorded 101 strikeouts over 110 innings last year (21 starts), while finishing the season 6-7 overall with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.

Boston’s pitchers have given up 6.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an 8.78 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In one divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 11.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.60.

The Boston hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .244/.321/.387 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by outfielders J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .326/.392/.543 with 15 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .255/.321/.511 with 12 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.51 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 10.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.16, along with a K-per-9 of 11.39.

The Blue Jays offense has yet to warm up, hitting only .193/.269/.320 on its way to 3.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been paced by Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk. Galvis is slashing .333/.381/.641 with 13 hits, eight RBIs and five runs scored, while Grichuk is hitting .190/.261/.476 with eight hits, three homers, six RBIs and seven runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 7.0 units and are 3-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 7.7 units and are 1-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under.

Blue Jays at Red Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only two of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have an OPS of .589 this season and an OPS of .571 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .691 overall and .638 versus righties.
  • Boston has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit nine home runs over its last 10 outings.