A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the Portland Trail Blazers (50-29), who will be 2.5-point favorites when they go head-to-head against the Denver Nuggets (53-26) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217.5 points and it will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 7, 2019.
Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds
In their three contests this year, the Nuggets have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 229 points, which was over the projected point total of 216.5. Denver won 119-110, covering as 6-point favorites. Denver was successful at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Nuggets made 26 of their 29 free throws (89.7 percent), while the Trail Blazers were 16-20 (80.0 percent). Jokic put up a double-double in the victory with 22 points and 13 rebounds.
Games featuring the Nuggets have typically finished under the projected point total (58.2 percent). Denver holds records of 53-26 straight up (SU) and 41-38 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Denver, a little over half of Trail Blazers games have finished over the total. Further, Portland is 50-29 SU and 44-35 ATS.
Portland could have a difficult time creating turnovers. Denver ranks 11th in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.7 percent).
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 17th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
- Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.5) while Portland ranks 23rd (23.1).
- The Trail Blazers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while the Nuggets rank 14th (32.0).
- Denver ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (52.5) while Portland ranks 14th (49.3).
- Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (47.9) while Denver ranks sixth (46.6).
- The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
- The Nuggets rank 19th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (14.8).
- Denver ranks 13th in steals per game (7.7) while Portland ranks 25th (6.7).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Portland is 14-2 and Denver is 24-2.
- The Nuggets are 50-18 when they score above 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 48-23.
- Denver is 16-23 ATS on the road, while Portland is 23-16 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 25 of the Nuggets’ 39 road games, while 22 of the Trail Blazers’ 39 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Denver and Portland are both 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 4.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (5.0 below their season average).