Jason Heyward and the Chicago Cubs will square off against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park in a Sunday showdown. The game gets underway 2:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will televise the matchup.
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Las Vegas has Chicago (+105) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-115). If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish below 9 runs scored, then Vegas is putting up -120 odds for the under. Taking the over can return even money (+100). There’s a runline of Cubs +1.5 (-200) and Brewers -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.
The Brewers are 7-2 straight up (SU) and 3-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.4 units ATS. On the other hand, the Cubs are 2-6 SU and have gone 1-6 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year and 8.3 units ATS.
Brewers games have a 3-4-1 over/under record so far in 2019. Chicago has been a decent over bet with a total record of 6-0-1.
Kyle Hendricks (0-1, 4.15 ERA) will get the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Hendricks started 33 games last year and finished the season 14-11 overall with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. He made four starts against the Brewers in 2018 and compiled a 2-1 record against them with a 3.91 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
The Brewers will put the ball in the hands of righty Zach Davies (0-0, 3.60 ERA), who started 13 games last year while finishing the season 2-7 overall with a 4.77 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. He made three starts against Chicago a year ago and assembled a 0-1 record with a 2.16 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 8.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 6.57 ERA, 1.95 WHIP and 7.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 9.51, along with a WHIP of 1.95 and a K/9 of 10.13.
Cubs hitters have slashed .307/.401/.519 on their way to 7.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Jason Heyward and shortstop Javier Baez. Heyward is hitting .370/.419/.704 with 10 hits, eight RBIs and seven runs scored. Baez (.250/.289/.583) is up to nine hits, four homers, eight RBIs and eight runs scored.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.52, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 12.6. The bullpen has a 5.35 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In nine games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 5.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.35.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .268/.366/.488 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Cain is hitting .364/.436/.576 with 12 hits, two RBIs and seven runs scored, while Yelich’s line sits at .333/.476/.818 with four homers, 10 RBIs and 10 runs.
The Cubs have lost 5.0 units and are 0-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to zero that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 5.2 units and are 2-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, as opposed to four that’ve cashed the under.
Cubs vs. Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The Cubs went 11-9 SU against the Brewers last season.
- The Cubs’ bullpen managed 3.25 ERA against the Brewers last year.
