Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals are preparing to square off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday day game. The matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds
Vegas has put equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. If you’re thinking this game’s total is going to finish under 7.5 runs scored, then Vegas is putting up -125 odds. Picking the over can give you +105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+140) and Mets +1.5 (-160).
The Nationals have gone 3-3 SU this year and are 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.0 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 5-2 SU and 5-2 ATS. The team’s gained 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.2 units ATS.
New York games have a 5-2 over/under record thus far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 4-2.
Patrick Corbin (0-0, 3.00 ERA) is projected to get the start for the visiting Nationals. The southpaw Corbin recorded 246 strikeouts across 199 innings last year (with only 48 walks) while finishing the season 11-7 overall with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. He made two starts against New York in 2018 and compiled a 0-1 record against the Mets with a 5.56 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Mets are going with lefty Steven Matz (0-0, 1.69 ERA) as their starter. Matz struck out 152 hitters across 154 innings last year with 58 walks. Matz finished the season 5-11 overall with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He recorded six starts against the Nationals a year ago and compiled a 0-3 record with a 5.88 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.31 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 11.46 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 9.64, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
The Nationals offense has slashed .244/.318/.423 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019.
Third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto have led Washington’s hitters. Rendon is slashing .435/.500/.826 with 10 hits, five RBIs and seven runs scored, while Soto is hitting .304 with seven hits, five RBIs and five runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 2.90 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In seven games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 2.90 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.
The New York offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .251/.315/.355 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by catcher Wilson Ramos and first baseman Pete Alonso. Ramos is hitting .478/.500/.522 with 11 hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, while Alonso’s line sits at .346/.393/.615 with nine hits, seven RBIs and three runs scored.
The Mets have gained 0.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in two of those games, compared to zero that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Nationals vs. Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Nationals went 8-11 SU against the Mets in 2018.
- The Mets’ bullpen managed an ERA of 8.03 against the Nationals last year.
- The Nationals have a team OPS of .741 this season, including an OPS of .836 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .689 overall and their right / left split is nearly identical.
