The Cleveland Cavaliers (19-60) and the Golden State Warriors (54-24) go head-to-head at ORACLE Arena. The Cavaliers look to snap their seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, April 5, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
The last time the Warriors played, they thoroughly outplayed the Los Angeles Lakers, 108-90, as 8.5-point underdogs. The Cavaliers, on the other hand, were topped by the Sacramento Kings, 117-104, and failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The Golden State game finished 22.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Cleveland game went 2.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.
The Warriors held the Lakers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.394 (below their season average of 0.530) and had a better turnover percentage (12.3 vs. 14.0). Cleveland, meanwhile, held Sacramento to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 23.0). DeMarcus Cousins played well for Golden State with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Cleveland received a boost from Larry Nance Jr., who contributed 11 points and 16 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 129-105 win. He scored a game-high 42 points. The two teams combined to score 234 points, which was over the projected point total of 219.5, and Golden State covered as an 11-point favorite. One of Golden State’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 21-24 (87.5 percent), while the Cavaliers were just 16-23 (69.6 percent).
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Cavaliers are involved, as 55.1 percent of their games have gone over the total. Cleveland comes into the game with records of 19-60 straight up (SU) and 36-40-2 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Cleveland, games including the Warriors have gone under the total 53.2 percent of the time. Golden State is 54-24 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (33-43-1 ATS).
The high-powered offense of Golden State will battle against the porous defense of Cleveland. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Cavaliers are 30th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Cavaliers vs. Warriors Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Cavaliers rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.6) while the Warriors rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.4) while Cleveland ranks 29th (2.4).
- The Warriors rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (14.1).
- Golden State ranks 11th in rebounds per game (46.2) while Cleveland ranks 25th (42.7).
- Golden State ranks 15th in steals per game (7.6) while Cleveland ranks 27th (6.4).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.4) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (20.7).
- The Cavaliers rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while the Warriors rank 25th (33.7).
- Cleveland ranks 25th in points in the paint per game (44.5) while Golden State ranks 29th (43.1).
- Golden State ranks second in fast break points per game (19.2) while Cleveland ranks 26th (10.5).
- Cleveland is 6-3 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 10-0.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Warriors are 54-16 and the Cavaliers are 17-33.
- Cleveland is 17-20-2 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 15-23-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 20 of the Cavaliers’ 39 road games, while 24 of the Warriors’ 39 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Cleveland has 5 overs.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 121.8 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (7.9 below their season average).
- The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.4, up from 9.3 for the season.
