Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction 04/02/19

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Expect a fast-paced game when the Los Angeles Lakers (35-42) head to Oklahoma City to play the Thunder (44-33). The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 2, 2019, and will air on TNT.

Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds

The Lakers easily got past the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game, 130-102, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Thunder, on the other hand, were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 106-103, and were unable to cover as 12.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 230.5, while the Oklahoma City game finished 9 points under the projected point total of 218.

Los Angeles played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 8.3 (better than their season average of 13.1) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.6 (below their season average of 21.8). New Orleans had marks of 20.6 and 12.5, respectively, for those same stats. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (6.9 vs. 11.8). Russell Westbrook led the way for Oklahoma City with 25 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists to notch his 29th triple-double this year. Meanwhile, JaVale McGee played well for Los Angeles, contributing 23 points and 16 rebounds.

The Lakers evened the season series at one with a 138-128 win in their most recent game. Kyle Kuzma was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points. The Lakers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Thunder. Los Angeles had a rate of 32.6, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 23.4. The two teams combined to put up 266 points, which was well over the projected point total of 225.5, and Los Angeles covered as a 10-point underdog.

Oddsmakers are known to set the total high when the Lakers are involved, as 59.7 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 35-42 straight up (SU) and 31-44-2 against the spread (ATS).

Games including the Thunder also have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (50.6 percent). Moreover, Oklahoma City owns records of 44-33 SU and 38-39 ATS.

There should be a fair amount of transition action in this meeting that features two of the NBA’s more up-and-down teams. Oklahoma City currently ranks second in possessions per game (106.2) and Los Angeles is third (105.9). Moreover, the 24th-ranked offense of the Lakers (offensive efficiency of 105.9) will battle against the fifth-ranked defense of the Thunder (defensive efficiency of 105.3).

Lakers at Thunder Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers average 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Thunder rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • Oklahoma City averages 19.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. Los Angeles ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.2).
  • The Thunder rank third in second chance points per game (15.3) while the Lakers rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Oklahoma City ranks fifth in fast-break points per game (17.8) while Los Angeles ranks 25th in fast-break points allowed per game (15.4).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (31.0) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (33.6).
  • The Thunder rank third in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Lakers rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
  • The Lakers average 55.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Thunder rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.0).
  • Los Angeles ranks 12th in assists per game (25.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).
  • Oklahoma City averages 9.4 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Los Angeles ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 7-0 and Oklahoma City is 11-0.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Lakers are 34-33 and the Thunder are 40-26.
  • Oklahoma City is 18-20 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 17-22 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 20 of the Lakers’ 39 road games, while 20 of the Thunder’s 38 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Oklahoma City has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • The Lakers have outscored opponents by an average of 10.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has been defeated by an average of 1.5 points.
  • During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (7.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average).