The New York Mets will be taking on their division rival Miami Marlins in a Tuesday night game. SportsNet New York will broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
New York (-120) is favored over Miami (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+125) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-145).
The Marlins are 2-3 straight up (SU) and 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.5 units ATS. The Mets have gone 3-1 SU this year and are 3-0 against the spread. Overall, the team’s accumulated 1.1 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 3.0 units ATS.
Miami games have a 2-1-1 over/under record in 2019. New York has an over/under record of 2-1.
Southpaw Jason Vargas will get the ball for New York. Vargas struck out 84 hitters in 92 innings last year (20 starts) but finished the season 7-9 overall with a 5.77 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. He made two starts against Miami in 2018 and compiled a 2-0 record against the Marlins with a 1.64 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
The Marlins are rolling with righty Jose Urena (0-1, 9.64 ERA) as their starter. Urena started 31 games last year and finished the season 9-12 overall with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. He made four starts against New York a year ago and registered a 2-2 record with a 3.57 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.03 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.63 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 12.4 K/9. In one games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 11.25.
The Miami offense has produced 3.4 runs per outing so far this season and the team’s hit .225/.275/.363 to begin the year.
First baseman Martin Prado and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ hitters so far. Prado is slashing .385/.385/.385 with five hits, one RBI and two runs scored, and Castro’s line is .263/.300/.421 with five hits, three RBIs and two runs scored.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.63 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.88 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 1.38, along with a K/9 of 11.08.
Mets hitters have slashed .288/.350/.418 on their way to 6.3 runs scored per game this season.
First baseman Pete Alonso and catcher Wilson Ramos have led New York’s offense. Alonso is hitting .412/.474/.765 with seven hits, six RBIs and two runs scored, while Ramos is hitting .462/.500/.538 with six hits, three RBIs and three runs scored.
The Mets have gained 2.1 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 0.1 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to zero that went under.
Mets vs. Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Mets went 12-7 SU against the Marlins in 2018.
- The Marlins’ bullpen managed 3.63 ERA against the Mets last year.
- The Mets have a team OPS of .768 this season and an OPS of .822 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .637 overall and their left-right split is nearly identical.
