Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction 03/30/19

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The Portland Trail Blazers (48-27) visit Little Caesars Arena to go head-to-head against the Detroit Pistons (38-37). The Trail Blazers are a 5-point underdog and will attempt to continue their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points and action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 30, 2019.

Portland Trail Blazers at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last matchup. The Pistons (3.5-point favorites) defeated the Orlando Magic 115-98, while the Trail Blazers (9-point favorites) beat the Atlanta Hawks 118-98. The Detroit game went 8 points over the projected point total of 205, while the Portland game hit the projected point total of 216.

Portland dominated every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 (below their season average of 26.0) and a free throw rate of 0.198 (matching their season average). Atlanta had marks of 15.1 and 0.138, respectively, for those same stats. Detroit, on the other hand, launched 35 three pointers, making 17 of them (48.6 percent), while Orlando was 8-31 (25.8 percent). Detroit received a boost from Andre Drummond, who had 18 points, 18 rebounds and six blocks. Meanwhile, Damian Lillard had a good outing for Portland, recording 36 points and seven assists.

In their first matchup this year, Lillard led the Trail Blazers to a 117-112 win. He scored a game-high 28 points. The two teams combined to score 229 points, which was over the projected point total of 214.5, and Portland was unable to cover as a 6-point favorite. Portland won the rebounding battle. The Trail Blazers had 11 offensive rebounds and 42 total rebounds, while the Pistons had six and 29, respectively.

Trail Blazers games have gone over the total 52.7 percent of the time. Portland heads into the game with records of 48-27 straight up (SU) and 41-33 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Portland, Pistons games have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (50.7 percent). Additionally, Detroit owns records of 38-37 SU and 40-34-1 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the league’s top rebounding teams battle. The Trail Blazers are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.0 percent. Meanwhile, Detroit ranks fifth in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 78.9 percent.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons are second in the NBA with 28.0 three pointers allowed per game while the Trail Blazers are third with 29.7 three pointers allowed per game.
  • Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (47.8) while Detroit ranks 18th (45.0).
  • The Pistons rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 17th (13.9).
  • Detroit ranks 18th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while Portland ranks 27th (14.9).
  • Detroit ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Portland ranks ninth (7.3).
  • The Trail Blazers rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Pistons rank 19th (13.0).
  • The Trail Blazers rank third in assists allowed per game (23.1) while the Pistons rank 10th (23.6).
  • Portland ranks 16th in blocks per game (5.0) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.9).
  • In games where they allow under 100 points, Detroit is 13-3 and Portland is 13-1.
  • The Trail Blazers are 46-22 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 35-23.
  • Portland is 19-17 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 20-16-1 ATS at home.
  • The Trail Blazers have 18 unders, 17 overs and 1 push in 36 road games.
  • The Pistons have 21 overs and 16 unders in 37 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pistons are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Detroit has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Portland has 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
  • The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Detroit has lost by an average of 0.1 points.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 125.4 points per game (10.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (3.5 above their season average).