The No. 3 LSU Tigers (28-6), 6-point underdogs, take on the No. 2 Michigan State Spartans (30-6) in the Sweet Sixteen at Capital One Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 148 points and it gets underway at 7:09 p.m. ET on Friday, March 29, 2019.
LSU Tigers vs. Michigan State Spartans ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Spartans won big over the No. 10 Minnesota Golden Gophers 70-50, while the Tigers edged the No. 6 Maryland Terrapins 69-67.
The Tigers had a turnover percentage of 12.2 (better than their season average of 15.4) and held the Terrapins to an effective field goal percentage of 0.405 (below their season average of 0.518). The Spartans, on the other hand, had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 47.8 (above their season average of 33.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.556). Cassius Winston played well for Michigan State, recording 13 points and nine assists. LSU, meanwhile, was lifted by Skylar Mays, who finished with 16 points and five rebounds.
Of the Tigers’ 34 games, 19 have finished over the O/U total. LSU holds records of 28-6 straight up (SU) and 19-15 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to LSU, Spartans games tend to finish under the total (58.3 percent). Additionally, Michigan State is 30-6 SU and 25-11 ATS.
It might turn into a shootout as two of the nation’s premier offenses go head-to-head. Michigan State currently ranks 10th with 115.7 points per 100 possessions and LSU is 32nd (112.9). Additionally, the Tigers rank 24th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.283), while the Spartans rank 39th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.190).
LSU vs. Michigan State Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- LSU ranks ninth in steals per game (8.9) while Michigan State ranks 233rd (5.1).
- The Spartans average 40.9 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the nation. The Tigers rank 107th in rebounds allowed per game (34.1).
- Michigan State averages 21.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 207th in the nation. LSU ranks 215th in three pointers allowed per game (23.6).
- The Spartans rank third in assists per game (18.6) while the Tigers rank 174th (13.1).
- Michigan State averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. LSU ranks 105th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 71.0 points per game (7.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 60.0 points per game (5.1 below their season average).
- The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 8.1 for the season.
