Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction 03/26/19

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The league’s top scoring team will be 4-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (55-19) clash with the Houston Rockets (47-27). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019.

Houston Rockets vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last contest. The Bucks (14-point favorites) defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 127-105, while the Rockets (9.5-point favorites) beat the New Orleans Pelicans 113-90. The Milwaukee game finished 8.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5, while the Houston game went 27.5 points under the projected point total of 230.5.

Houston played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.610 (above their season average of 0.537) and a free throw rate of 0.093 (below their season average of 0.228). New Orleans put up marks of 0.451 and 0.076, respectively, for those same stats. The Bucks, meanwhile, knocked down 16 of their 21 free throws (76.2 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.638 (above their season average of 0.550). Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who contributed 26 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. Chris Paul, meanwhile played a key role for Houston with 10 points, 13 assists and five steals.

In their first matchup this year, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 116-109 victory. He notched a double-double with 27 points and 21 rebounds. The two teams combined for 225 points, which was just under the projected point total of 228.5, and Milwaukee covered as a 2-point favorite. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Rockets. Milwaukee had a rate of 11.3, while Houston posted a mark of 15.4.

Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Rockets games, with an even split between overs and unders. Houston heads into the contest with records of 47-27 straight up (SU) and 34-37-3 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Houston, a little over half of Bucks games have finished under the total. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 55-19 SU and 44-28-2 ATS.

Milwaukee could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense squares off against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while Houston ranks 21st in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Rockets rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.227), while the Bucks rank first in opponents’ FTA rate (0.165).

Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Rockets rank 17th in second chance points per game (13.1) while the Bucks rank 27th (11.8).
  • Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (44.7) while Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
  • The Bucks rank seventh in assists per game (26.1) while the Rockets rank 27th (21.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Houston ranks 18th (16.9).
  • Houston ranks fifth in steals per game (8.6) while Milwaukee ranks 18th (7.5).
  • The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (53.5) while the Rockets rank last (42.2).
  • The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (6.0) while the Rockets rank 17th (5.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.5) while Houston ranks 10th (13.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (49.4) while Houston ranks 27th (41.7).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 19-1 and Houston is 13-2.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Rockets are 44-19 and the Bucks are 54-15.
  • Houston is 15-21-1 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 22-14 ATS at home.
  • Of the Rockets’ 37 road games, they have 21 unders, 15 overs and 1 push.
  • In 36 home games, the Bucks have 18 overs and 18 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Rockets are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Houston has 4 unders and 1 over, while Milwaukee has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 3.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average).