Detroit Pistons at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 03/23/19

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The Portland Trail Blazers (44-27) will be 5-point favorites at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they challenge the Detroit Pistons (37-34). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216.5 points and it can be seen on NBATV at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.

Detroit Pistons at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

The last time the Pistons played, they won big over the Phoenix Suns, 118-98, easily covering as 7-point favorites. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, beat the Dallas Mavericks,126-118, but failed to cover as 10-point favorites. The Detroit game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the Portland game finished 27 points over the projected point total of 217.

The Pistons had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 40.4 (above their season average of 24.7), while the Suns had a turnover percentage of 18.4 (above their season average of 13.5). Portland, on the other hand, won the rebounding battle. The Trail Blazers had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. six), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 29) and total rebounds (48 vs. 35). Portland’s Damian Lillard had a good game, finishing with 33 points, 12 assists and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Detroit rallied around Andre Drummond, who put up 16 points and 19 rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their two games last season. The Trail Blazers won the most recent contest 100-87. The Trail Blazers’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Pistons. Portland had a rate of 20.5, while Detroit posted a mark of 16.7. This will be the first game of the year between these two teams.

Games involving the Pistons have gone under the total 52.1 percent of the time. Detroit holds records of 37-34 straight up (SU) and 36-34-1 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Detroit, Trail Blazers games have finished over the projected point total 52.1 percent of the time. Additionally, Portland is 44-27 SU and 40-31 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the NBA’s top rebounding teams square off. The Trail Blazers currently rank second in offensive rebounding percentage (26.0 percent), while Detroit ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3 percent).

Detroit Pistons at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Trail Blazers rank 18th in points in the paint per game (48.3) while the Pistons rank 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).
  • Detroit ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while Portland ranks 16th (13.5).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 22nd in fast break points per game (11.1) while the Pistons rank 28th (9.7).
  • Portland ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Detroit ranks ninth (23.6).
  • Detroit leads the league with 28.0 three pointers allowed per game while Portland is third with 29.4 three pointers allowed per game.
  • The Trail Blazers rank 15th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Pistons rank 28th (3.9).
  • The Pistons rank 23rd in steals per game (6.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th (6.7).
  • Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (47.7) while Detroit ranks 15th (45.3).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Detroit is 12-2 and Portland is 11-1.
  • The Trail Blazers are 42-22 when they reach the century mark, while the Pistons are 34-21.
  • Detroit is 17-18 ATS on the road, while Portland is 22-14 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Pistons’ 35 road games, while 20 of the Trail Blazers’ 36 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Detroit and Portland are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Pistons have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers have 4 unders and 1 over
  • During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 3.7 for the season.