Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic ATS Prediction 03/08/19

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The Dallas Mavericks (27-37) and the Orlando Magic (30-36) square off at Amway Center. The Mavericks are 6.5-point underdogs and can end a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213.5 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 8, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last game. The Mavericks (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Washington Wizards, 132-123, while the Magic (4-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 114-106. The Dallas game went 22.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5, while the Orlando game finished 1.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.

Dallas had a turnover percentage of 6.2 (better than their season average of 12.9) while Orlando made 13 of their 32 three pointers (40.6 percent). Orlando’s Aaron Gordon led the way, finishing with 24 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic played a pivotal role for Dallas with 31 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists.

In their first matchup this year, Doncic led the Mavericks to a 101-76 victory. He put up seven points, 11 rebounds and nine assists. The two teams combined to put up 177 points, which was well under the projected point total of 210, and Dallas covered as a 5-point favorite. Dallas was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Mavericks made 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent), while the Magic were just 4-5 (80.0 percent).

Mavericks games have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (54.7 percent). Dallas holds records of 27-37 straight up (SU) and 36-28 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Magic are involved, as 37 of their 64 games have ended under the total. Further, Orlando owns records of 30-36 SU and 34-29-3 ATS.

Dallas may struggle to create turnovers. Orlando ranks eighth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Dallas forces the 18th-most turnovers (12.9 percent).

Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank 24th in points in the paint per game (44.4) while the Magic rank 27th (42.8).
  • Orlando ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.6) while Dallas ranks 27th (4.3).
  • The Magic rank 13th in assists per game (25.0) while the Mavericks rank 25th (22.7).
  • Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (35.9) while Orlando ranks 14th (31.6).
  • Orlando ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Dallas ranks 10th (12.8).
  • The Magic rank third in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Mavericks rank 23rd (8.3).
  • The Magic rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the Mavericks rank 14th (16.5).
  • Dallas ranks 17th in rebounds per game (45.1) while Orlando ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
  • Orlando ranks ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.8).
  • Orlando is 14-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 10-3.
  • The Mavericks are 26-29 when they score above 100 points, while the Magic are 26-18.
  • Orlando is 15-15-1 ATS at home, while Dallas is 15-17 ATS on the road.
  • Of the Mavericks’ 32 road games, they have 16 unders, 15 overs and 1 push.
  • In 31 home games, the Magic have 16 overs and 15 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Magic are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Orlando has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 1.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (5.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.4 points per game (8.6 above their season average).