Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction 02/25/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The league’s top shooting defense will be 11-point favorites on the road at United Center, when the Milwaukee Bucks (45-14) take on the Chicago Bulls (16-44). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

In the Bulls’ last game, they defeated the Boston Celtics, 126-116, as 10-point underdogs. The Bucks, on the other hand, defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 140-128, but were not able to cover as 13-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Chicago game went 22.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Milwaukee game finished 35.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.

Milwaukee played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.221 (above their season average of 0.190) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.626 (above their season average of 0.551). For those same stats, Minnesota recorded marks of 0.157 and 0.549, respectively. Meanwhile, Chicago dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 29.7 (above their season average of 18.3) and a free throw rate of 0.227 (above their season average of 0.182). For those same stats, Boston was 13.6 and 0.174, respectively. Lauri Markkanen put together a solid performance for Chicago with 35 points and 15 rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way for Milwaukee, recording 27 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists.

In their three matchups this year, the Bucks have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 211 points, well under the projected point total of 227. Milwaukee won 112-99, covering as an 11.5-point favorite. Milwaukee made good use of their 29 trips to the free throw line, converting on 24 of them (82.8 percent). Chicago, meanwhile, was 16-18 (88.9 percent). Antetokounmpo recorded a double-double with 29 points and 17 rebounds.

Just over half of the Bucks’ games have finished under the O/U total. Milwaukee heads into the contest with records of 45-14 straight up (SU) and 34-23-2 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Bulls are involved, as 55.0 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Further, Chicago owns records of 16-44 SU and 27-31-2 ATS.

The ineffective offense of Chicago (30th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 102.6) will go head-to-head against the top-notch defense of Milwaukee (first in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.1). The Bucks should have the edge on that end of the court.

Bucks at Bulls Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Bulls rank 13th (13.1).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (37.6) while Chicago ranks 27th (26.7).
  • The Bucks rank eighth in assists per game (26.1) while the Bulls rank 27th (22.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Chicago ranks 27th (15.0).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in fast break points per game (17.5) while Chicago ranks 17th (11.9).
  • The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (48.9) while the Bulls rank 26th (42.2).
  • The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (54.3) while the Bulls rank 18th (48.1).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Chicago ranks 10th (7.4).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (5.9) while Chicago ranks 26th (4.4).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Milwaukee is 16-1 and Chicago is 8-5.
  • The Bucks are 44-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Bulls are 12-26.
  • Milwaukee is 17-10-2 ATS on the road, while Chicago is 12-18 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 18 of the Bulls’ 30 home games, while 17 of the Bucks’ 29 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bulls are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Chicago has 4 overs and 1 under, while Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Bulls have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Chicago has been defeated by an average of 8.0 points.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (9.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average).