The Brown Bears (16-9, 4-5 Ivy) welcome the Dartmouth Big Green (11-14, 2-7 Ivy) to Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center. The Big Green look to put an end to a six-game road losing streak. The game gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Brown Bears ATS Odds
The Bears hope to maintain momentum after comfortably covering the 1-point spread against the Harvard Crimson in their last game, 88-79. The Big Green, meanwhile, were blown out by the Yale Bulldogs, 77-59, and were unable to cover as 6-point underdogs. The Brown game finished 28.5 points over the projected point total of 138.5, while the Dartmouth game hit the projected point total of 136.
Brown dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.463 (above their season average of 0.257) and a turnover percentage of 16.1 (better than their season average of 17.3). Harvard was 0.131 and 22.2, respectively, for those same stats. Dartmouth, on the other hand, forced Yale into a turnover percentage of 19.1 (above the 14.1 mark opponents have averaged against Dartmouth this season). Brown was led by Desmond Cambridge, who contributed 30 points. James Foye led the way for Dartmouth, finishing with 15 points.
In their first matchup this year, Tamenang Choh led the Bears to a 60-58 victory. He produced 12 points, nine rebounds and five steals. The two teams combined for 118 points, which was well under the projected point total of 148, and Brown covered as a 2-point favorite. The Bears’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Big Green. Brown had a rate of 15.7, while Dartmouth posted a mark of 27.8.
Big Green games have typically gone over the total (59.1 percent). Dartmouth comes into the game with records of 11-14 straight up (SU) and 11-9-2 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Dartmouth, Bears games tend to go under the projected point total (72.7 percent). Brown has a respectable 16-9 SU record, but they have a difficult time covering the spread (9-10-3 ATS).
Second-chance opportunities could be few and far between for Brown in this battle. The Bears rank 280th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.4 percent), while Dartmouth ranks 48th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.9 percent).
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Brown Bears Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Brown, ATS Winner – Dartmouth, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Brown ranks 45th in steals per game (7.6) while Dartmouth ranks 205th (5.0).
- The Bears rank 65th in blocks per game (4.0) while the Big Green rank 81st in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
- Brown ranks 93rd in rebounds per game (36.9) while Dartmouth ranks 99th in rebounds allowed per game (33.7).
- The Big Green rank 45th in three pointers allowed per game (19.8) while the Bears rank 204th (23.6).
- Dartmouth ranks 75th in assists per game (14.6) while Brown ranks 97th in assists allowed per game (12.5).
- Brown is 3-5-1 ATS at home, while Dartmouth is 6-5-1 ATS on the road.
- The Big Green have 7 overs and 5 unders in 12 road games.
- The Bears have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Big Green are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bears are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Dartmouth has 5 overs, while Brown has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Big Green have scored an average of 73.6 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.4 points per game (4.6 above their season average).
- The Bears’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 5.7 for the season.
