The Utah Jazz (32-26) will be 10-point favorites at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (26-32). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and action starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.
Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last outing. The Mavericks (3-point favorites) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 114-104, while the Jazz (9-point underdogs) fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 148-147. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Dallas game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5, while the Utah game went 65.5 points over the projected point total of 229.5.
Dallas did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-33; 78.8 percent) while Utah had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 22.2). Rudy Gobert had a good performance for Utah with 26 points and 16 rebounds. Dwight Powell, meanwhile had a good game for Dallas, putting up 20 points and six rebounds.
The Jazz lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 186 points, well under the projected point total of 212. Utah lost 118-68, covering as a 5-point favorite. Dallas made 12 of their 28 three pointers (42.9 percent). Utah was, on the other hand, just 6-35 (17.1 percent). Harrison Barnes was the game’s top overall scorer with 19 points.
Mavericks games have finished under the projected point total 54.4 percent of the time. Dallas comes into the game with records of 26-32 straight up (SU) and 35-22 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Dallas, Jazz games have a slight tendency to go over the projected point total (50.9 percent). Further, Utah is 32-26 SU and 29-26-2 ATS.
A focal point for the Utah offense is getting to the free throw line. The Jazz rank fifth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.221), but Dallas is among the best in the league at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking fifth by yielding a FTA rate of 0.185).
Mavericks vs. Jazz Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks average 15.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 21st in the league. The Jazz rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
- Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.1) while Dallas ranks 29th (17.3).
- The Jazz rank first in three pointers allowed per game (28.1) while the Mavericks rank 15th (31.7).
- Utah ranks 11th in assists per game (25.1) while Dallas ranks 25th (22.6).
- Utah ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Dallas ranks 10th (12.8).
- The Jazz rank seventh in blocks per game (5.6) while the Mavericks rank 25th (4.3).
- The Jazz rank second in rebounds allowed per game (42.6) while the Mavericks rank 11th (44.3).
- Utah ranks 11th in steals per game (8.3) while Dallas ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Utah is 15-3 and Dallas is 10-3.
- The Mavericks are 25-26 when they score more than 100 points, while the Jazz are 30-15.
- Dallas is 15-13 ATS on the road, while Utah is 15-12-1 ATS at home.
- In 28 road games, the Mavericks have 15 unders, 12 overs and 1 push.
- The Jazz have 14 overs and 14 unders in 28 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Dallas and Utah have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Jazz are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (9.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.2 points per game (9.5 above their season average).
- The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 0.2 for the season.
