The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (7-17, 5-9 BigSky) will be at The Hornets Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (11-11, 5-8 BigSky) in a BigSky matchup. The game is scheduled to start at 10:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Sacramento State Hornets ATS Odds
In their last outing, the Hornets beat the Southern Utah Thunderbirds, 84-73, while the Lumberjacks lost to the Portland State Vikings, 103-94.
Sacramento State played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.446 (above their season average of 0.210) and a turnover percentage of 11.5 (better than their season average of 16.5). Southern Utah had marks of 0.271 and 15.0, respectively, for those same stats. Northern Arizona, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (22-30; 73.3 percent). Sacramento State was led by Joshua Patton, who recorded 22 points and 13 rebounds. Bernie Andre played well for Northern Arizona, contributing 20 points and 12 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Patton led the Hornets to a 66-64 win. He notched a double-double with 34 points and 11 rebounds. Sacramento State had a much better free throw rate (0.327 vs. 0.200). Northern Arizona, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 15.8).
Points at the line could be few and far between for Sacramento State in this contest. The Hornets currently rank 235th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Northern Arizona ranks 95th in FTA rate allowed (0.208). Additionally, the Lumberjacks commit the 52nd-fewest errors in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of the Hornets causes the 31st-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.8 percent).
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Sacramento State Hornets Odds Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Sacramento State, ATS Winner – Sacramento State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Sacramento State ranks 56th in three pointers allowed per game (20.0) while Northern Arizona ranks 262nd (26.0).
- The Hornets average 34.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 170th in the country. The Lumberjacks rank 216th in rebounds allowed per game (36.5).
- The Hornets rank 97th in assists allowed per game (12.5) while the Lumberjacks rank 227th (15.2).
- Sacramento State ranks 39th in steals per game (7.8) while Northern Arizona ranks 130th (6.3).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.6 points per game (2.6 above their season average).
- The Lumberjacks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 6.1 for the season.
